Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 90.580905 100.303781 110.211144 121.036804 132.508134 144.277715 157.242046
2026-02-08 73.253041 87.458912 102.586605 119.787465 138.698217 158.756863 181.543397
2026-02-15 61.458293 78.846864 98.138433 120.862023 146.639640 174.736885 207.443566
2026-02-22 53.990796 73.999513 97.028892 124.991252 157.546597 193.816637 236.850207
2026-03-01 46.825424 68.554603 94.475977 126.858528 165.460300 209.307116 262.195734
2026-03-08 39.714282 62.292404 90.228368 126.117187 169.871655 220.473907 282.435722
2026-03-15 34.992291 58.479279 88.509177 128.034856 177.146285 234.793991 306.248970
2026-03-22 31.915971 56.460416 88.759524 132.158399 186.939778 252.027741 333.500811
2026-03-29 28.665998 53.813118 87.894195 134.635592 194.548085 266.563496 357.547834
2026-04-05 26.182602 51.967935 87.872961 138.026794 203.183741 282.292314 383.033123
2026-04-12 23.494679 49.510760 86.784281 139.836941 209.698499 295.366983 405.313330
2026-04-19 19.056113 43.809626 80.734505 134.661433 206.973397 296.817775 413.298199
2026-04-26 15.701389 39.462098 76.353631 131.573585 206.881167 301.578439 425.480659
2026-05-03 13.283526 36.374082 73.588494 130.538472 209.368252 309.531035 441.616138
2026-05-10 11.677461 34.519331 72.543695 131.825399 214.893421 321.337472 462.594629
2026-05-17 10.892551 34.116002 73.709527 136.269045 224.693656 338.675377 490.601612
2026-05-24 9.717382 32.769342 73.258898 138.286028 231.161473 351.728389 513.269499
2026-05-31 8.191521 30.437392 71.021476 137.527853 233.726757 359.671614 529.467266
2026-06-07 7.292946 29.312611 70.697331 139.565954 240.132005 372.625031 552.065398
2026-06-14 6.826132 29.107280 71.908570 143.925335 249.799497 389.904940 580.262310
2026-06-21 6.157586 28.302507 72.009506 146.542595 257.005884 403.957791 604.375250
2026-06-28 5.677193 27.883651 72.746454 150.120809 265.571466 419.831192 630.873531
2026-07-05 5.039081 26.927931 72.444578 152.030119 271.743983 432.534162 653.325905